The Independent Alliance are very critical of the government’s handling of Coronavirus and believe it has been very damaging to the country in many ways. We want to give voters a chance to express their dissatisfaction with the government. By answering some important questions, we hope you will understand why.
First of all, 120,000 haven’t died of Coronavirus in the UK. Deaths are counted based on someone having had a positive test in the previous 28 days before their death. This does not mean they died of the virus. This has been picked up in recent days across the media with a suggestion that nearly a quarter of deaths were not from the virus (see below):
Other sources out there suggest that the figure could be as low as 6% of reported deaths actually being due to the virus. No-one knows exactly what the real number is but we do know it’s not over 120,000.
For some people, yes. The overall death rate for Coronavirus is said to be approximately 0.3% or thereabouts once you eliminate false reporting. You will see other numbers quoted but it seems fairly certain that it is under 1% for the general population. The death rate for flu is approximately 0.13% so we are looking at something that is more dangerous than flu but not many times more. Most people will be fine.
What is also clear is the likelihood of death or a bad case varies significantly with age and the presence of serious complications. The average age of someone dying of/with Coronavirus in the UK has remained around 82 throughout the last year. (Interestingly the average life expectancy in the UK is around 81.) In the majority of cases, these deaths have occurred alongside serious pre-existing health issues. Wouldn’t we have been more effective and compassionate if we had concentrated our time, money and effort on helping and treating those that are truly vulnerable? Many thousands of doctors, nurses and scientists also think that and have signed a declaration.
We could get into a minefield of numbers here but we won’t. Let’s keep it simple. About 550,000 to 600,000 people in the UK die each year. More people died last year than the year before. You would normally expect deaths to increase over time as the population grows and ages. If you adjust the deaths total for these factors, 2020 was the 9th worst death toll in the century. A bad year but, again, not out of all proportion.
What is really upsetting is that the toll includes people who have died because of the lockdown policies. 2020 was a terrible year for delayed cancer treatments, reduced home visits by doctors and generally less focus on the health of seriously ill people across the country. Many have died and will die as a result. We will never know the numbers but estimates of cancer deaths alone that will result from these policy decisions are all in the tens of thousands and likely to grow over time.
You could, that is true. There is still no compelling evidence of asymptomatic transmission but we all know that we can pass on a cough, cold or virus if we are showing some mild symptoms. So let’s be careful when and how we meet up with older and more vulnerable relatives. And most importantly, let them decide what level of risk they want to take. It is their free choice and we must respect that.
That is no reason why we should lock up millions of healthy people who could be working and living their lives. A strong economy gives us the money to support healthcare and, in particular, the more vulnerable members of our society.
The reality is that many countries across the world are following the broad template of lockdowns and other restrictions. We find this quite remarkable given that this approach has never happened before. Some fortunate countries have taken a different and more measured approach however. The example closest to home is Sweden, where very few restrictions were put in place and schools and shops have remained open throughout. Sweden has lower death rate per 100,000 of population than the UK.
We can also look across the Atlantic where US states have taken different approaches in the past year. 6 of them never went into a lockdown and now many more are fully open. What is interesting is that you would not be able to tell which states they were from the charts below of death rates per You sent Today at 20:00 100,000 in the population. It is certainly not the 6 at the top of the list. (For the record the 6 are South Dakota, Arkansas, Iowa, North Dakota, Nebraska and Wyoming.) Is this scientific proof? No, of course not, but it should make people look and think about why the media portrays lockdown as the only possible answer to infection control when it is clearly delivering mixed results.
If you look carefully at the charts of peak coronavirus deaths (as reported, though we dispute those) you will see that they peaked just before the implementations of lockdowns 1 and 2 in the UK. We also saw coronavirus deaths dip to very low levels in the summer of 2020 and gain in the spring of 2021. Completely predictable as they followed the pattern of the normal seasonal virus deaths that we would see every year. Deaths stayed low throughout the summer, prior to any mask mandates and predictably started to increase in the autumn as we moved into winter. Expect the same in 2021 but what message will the government attach to it? A normal seasonal increase or blaming us all for doing something wrong?
Let’s be clear on this one, the NHS struggles every year with the peak of respiratory viruses, “flu season” if you like. Bed capacity across the NHS has reduced significantly over the past decade and the clearly presents a problem every winter. In plenty of hospitals, this winter was worse than ever. However, that was in some hospitals whilst many more were able to cope perfectly well. Take a look at the government’s own statistics and decide for yourself if these justify locking the whole country in their own homes:
This is a particularly thorny topic. Test and you will find. Firstly, a positive PCR test picks up a trace of coronavirus that in many cases does not represent an active virus in the individual that can be transmitted. Many scientists have criticised calling these positive tests “cases”. Only a proportion will be cases in the sense that we understand them. Treating every positive test as a “case” inflates the real world risk and can have serious consequences on an individual who has to quarantine or take other actions when they are not contagious at all.
Also, the government’s own information suggests that between 0.8% and 4.3% of tests may be giving a false positive result:
This isn’t massively misleading when genuine case numbers are high. However, this becomes very significant when genuine cases are low e.g. in the summer. Imagine the error rate is 2% and a thousand people are tested. The testing will falsely show 20 people as being a case. If only 2 people in a thousand are genuinely a case at that time of year, testing will show 22 cases and 20 of these will be incorrect; a false positive rate of over 90%! We must be very careful about cases being quoted in the summer months to enforce strict government measures, particularly when they are ramping up testing. This is most worrying in schools, where children have already missed far too much education.
Masks are not designed as infection control measures for normal breathing. For surgeons they stop blood being swallowed by the surgeon and drops of mucus etc. passing from the surgeon to the patient. Effective at that level and effective if we cough or sneeze in a crowded place. So is a tissue.
As for normal breathing as we go about our business, there is no clear scientific evidence that the masks people are asked to wear do anything at all. Take a look at the evidence for yourself:
We do not support mask mandates as they provide very visible evidence of how we have lost our freedoms. Normal life does not include the mandatory wearing of masks.
The reality is that businesses have been closing in record numbers and many more are barely surviving. Many jobs have been lost already and we still haven’t reached the end of furlough when many more will surely be lost. The economic damage has been enormous and we need to get businesses open and trading as soon as possible to give them the best chance of survival. Here’s just one example article from the BBC in October before the second lockdown had even taken place. How bad will things get if we don’t stop this now?
Very simply, whether someone takes a vaccine or not is their own personal decision. This applies to any other medical treatment that they may or may not want to have. Everybody needs to weigh up the risks of the treatment against the risks of the thing that is being treated and come to their own decision. Live and let live.
What must be remembered is that the coronavirus vaccines do not stop you getting or passing on the virus. They have been introduced to lessen the symptoms of the virus should you catch it.
We oppose any kind of vaccine passport or certificate for many reasons.
Firstly, freedoms are a right and not to be given and taken away at a whim by the government. And is it freedom anyway if you have to show your pass to do the simplest things in life?
Secondly, as noted above, vaccination does not prevent transmission. Therefore, why should anyone care if someone else is vaccinated or not? This simple question has never been addressed by the government. (Note that they still expect vaccinated people to wear masks and obey lockdown rules.)
Finally, if we were to hand over our freedoms to a government app then how could this develop over time? What data would you have to carry? What other requirements would you have to meet to have your app giving access to life? Let’s hope you don’t fail to pay a bill or parking ticket on time? Or choose not to have a future jab for any reason? What could this develop into?
Stop them now while we can.